Keepin' It Real 

Economics, Housing, & Commercial Real Estate Analysis

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  • Alex Pettee, CFA

Goldilocks Job Report Revives Real Estate

  • After snapping a six-week winning streak on flaring geopolitical tensions, U.S. equity markets picked up where they left off in 2019 with broad advances and new record highs this week.

  • The S&P 500 gained 1.0% on the week while the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 2.0%. The 10-Year Treasury Yield ended the week higher by 4 basis points to close at 1.83%.

  • The BLS employment report showed that job growth was slightly weaker than expected in December while wage gains cooled to the slowest rate of growth since July 2018.

  • The "Goldilocks" jobs report was good news for real estate and other yield-sensitive equity sectors. REITs delivered a strong rally after the report to close the week in positive territory.

  • Homebuilders were the standout this week, surging nearly 3% on strong earnings reports from entry-level-focused homebuilders Lennar and KB Home, powered by low mortgage rates and strong demographic-driven demand.

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