Keepin' It Real 

Economics, Housing, & Commercial Real Estate Analysis

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  • Alex Pettee, CFA

Real Estate Daily Recap: Another Strong Day for REITs & Housing As Earnings Heat Up

Following a 1.3% jump yesterday, the Hoya Capital US REIT Index finished the day higher by another 1.0%, led by the student housing, single family rental, and shopping center REIT sectors. The cell tower, hotel, and office REIT sectors were the relative underperformers on the day. The S&P 500 finished the day lower by 0.2%, retreating from record-highs. The Nasdaq finished lower by 0.3%. At 2.52%, the 10-Year Yield finished the day lower by 5 basis points on the day. Oil finished lower by nearly 1%, but the recent climb higher in energy prices threaten to derail the 'Goldilocks' economic conditions that had powered real estate outperformance since late 2018.

The Hoya Capital US Housing Index finished the day higher by 0.5% with seven of the eight sectors in positive territory. The Residential REIT and Homebuilding sectors were the strongest performers, led by strong gains Meritage (MTH) and Ventas (VTR). Really (RLGY), Restoration Hardware (RH), ReMax (RMAX), and Williams-Sonoma all finished higher by at least 2%.

The Real Estate Technology and Homebuilding Products sectors were the relative underperforms on the day. Owens Corning (OC), Sleep Number (SNBR), Redfin (RDFN), and Zillow (Z) were each down by 3% or more on the day.

New Home Sales data, released yesterday morning, came in above consensus estimates. Sales increased 4.5% from last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 692,000 units, the highest level since November 2017. On a TTM basis, new home sales are higher by 0.2% over the last year. Existing home sales data, released this morning, was weaker than estimated as the lingering effects of the 2018 softness carry into this year. Per the NAR, existing sales came in at 5.21 million, below the 5.31 consensus estimates. This represents a 5.4% decrease from the same month last year.

The jam-packed week for real estate earnings continues. Per Seeking Alpha, the slate tomorrow includes more than a dozen REITs and housing-related earnings results.

The economic calendar for the rest of the week includes Durable Goods data on Thursday and GDP data on Friday.

Disclosure: An investor cannot invest directly in an index and index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees, expenses or taxes. The information presented does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. We consider the information in this presentation to be accurate, but we do not represent that it is complete. It should not be relied upon as the sole source of suitability for investment. Please consult with your investment, tax or legal adviser regarding your individual circumstances before investing. Visit our website for a complete definition of all indexes cited in this report. Investing involves risk and loss of principal is possible.

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Hoya Capital Real Estate ("Hoya Capital") is an SEC-registered investment advisory firm that provides investment management services to ETFs, individuals, and institutions, focusing on portfolio and index management of publicly traded securities in the real estate industry. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Index performance cited in this website or commentary does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. Nothing on this site nor any published commentary by Hoya Capital is intended to be investment, tax, or legal advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and should not be considered a complete discussion of all factors and risks. Data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk. Loss of principal is possible. Investments in companies involved in the real estate and housing industries involve unique risks, as do investments in ETFs, mutual funds, and other securities. Hoya Capital has no business relationship with any company discussed/mentioned. Hoya Capital never receives compensation from any company discussed/mentioned. Hoya Capital, its affiliate, and/or its clients and/or its employees may hold positions in securities or funds discussed on this website and our published commentary. A complete list of holdings and other important disclosures and definitions are available by clicking the links below.

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