Keepin' It Real 

Economics, Housing, & Commercial Real Estate Analysis

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  • Alex Pettee, CFA

Real Estate Daily Recap: Another Tough Day for REITs and Housing As Earnings Kicks Into High-Gear

Coming off their worst week of 2019, the Hoya Capital US REIT Index finished the day lower by 1.3% and extended their losses since the start of last week to more than 4%. The cell tower REIT sector was the lone segment in positive territory on the day while the mall, shopping center, and student housing sectors were the weakest. The S&P 500 finished the day higher by 0.1% and is still within about 1% of all-time record highs. The Nasdaq finished higher by 0.3%. At 2.59%, the 10-Year Yield finished the day higher by 3 basis points on the day as the continued climb higher in energy prices threaten to derail the 'Goldilocks' economic conditions that had powered real estate outperformance since late 2018.

The Hoya Capital US Housing Index finished the day higher by 0.3%, led to the upside by the Mortgage Lenders/Services sector. Homebuilder NVR (NVR) jumped more than 6% on the day after reporting better-than-expected results this morning. Whirlpool (WHR) reported results this afternoon and is higher in post-market trading. Wayfair (W), Amazon (AMZN), and RealPage each climbed more than 1% on the day.

The Home Furnishings and Real Estate Technology & Brokerage sectors were the relative underperforms on the day. Overstock (OSTK), Sleep Number (SNBR), At Home (HOME), and Bed Bath & Beyond Sleep Number (SNBR) finished lower on the day, as did Lennox (LII), which reported generally in-line earnings results this morning.

Existing home sales data, released this morning, was weaker than estimated as the lingering effects of the 2018 softness carry into this year. Per the NAR, existing sales came in at 5.21 million, below the 5.31 consensus estimates. This represents a 5.4% decrease from the same month last year.

The busy week for housing data and real estate earnings continues tomorrow with New Home Sales data and the FHFA Home Price Index. Earnings tomorrow include results from Homebuilding firms Meritage (MTH and Pulte (PHM) as well as Homebuilding Products & Materials firms Watsco (WSO) and Sherwin Williams (SHW).

Disclosure: An investor cannot invest directly in an index and index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees, expenses or taxes. The information presented does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. We consider the information in this presentation to be accurate, but we do not represent that it is complete. It should not be relied upon as the sole source of suitability for investment. Please consult with your investment, tax or legal adviser regarding your individual circumstances before investing. Visit our website for a complete definition of all indexes cited in this report. Investing involves risk and loss of principal is possible.

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Hoya Capital Real Estate ("Hoya Capital") is an SEC-registered investment advisory firm that provides investment management services to ETFs, individuals, and institutions, focusing on portfolio and index management of publicly traded securities in the real estate industry. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Index performance cited in this website or commentary does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. Nothing on this site nor any published commentary by Hoya Capital is intended to be investment, tax, or legal advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and should not be considered a complete discussion of all factors and risks. Data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk. Loss of principal is possible. Investments in companies involved in the real estate and housing industries involve unique risks, as do investments in ETFs, mutual funds, and other securities. Hoya Capital has no business relationship with any company discussed/mentioned. Hoya Capital never receives compensation from any company discussed/mentioned. Hoya Capital, its affiliate, and/or its clients and/or its employees may hold positions in securities or funds discussed on this website and our published commentary. A complete list of holdings and other important disclosures and definitions are available by clicking the links below.

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