Economics, Housing, & Commercial Real Estate Analysis

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  • Alex Pettee, CFA

Real Estate Daily Recap: On "Risk-On" Day, REITs End Lower While Housing Jumps Higher

In a clear "risk-on" trading pattern amid continued trade-related market turmoil, the Hoya Capital US REIT Index finished the day lower by 0.6%, led by the single family rental, mall, and hotel REIT sectors. The healthcare, net lease, and data center REIT sectors were the relative laggards on the day. The S&P 500 jumped by 2.2% and the Nasdaq surged 2.8%. At 2.12%, the 10-Year yield finished the day higher by 4 basis points, climbing back from the lowest level in 21 months.

The Hoya Capital US Housing Index finished the day higher by 1.8% with seven of the eight sectors in positive territory. The Real Estate Technology, Home Furnishings, and Homebuilding Products sectors were the strongest performing industry sectors with Whirlpool, Realogy, Restoration Hardware, Trex, and Sleep Number each jumping more than 6% on the day.

The Residential REIT sector was the lone housing sector in negative territory, dragged down by the yield-sensitive and defensive healthcare REITs Ventas, HCP, and Welltower, which each dipped more than 2% on the day.

Jobs data highlights a busy week of economic data ahead, which will be closely watched by market participants around the world. The US labor markets have defied expectations on the upside for much of the past half-decade, and continued strength in job growth should be expected to strengthen the Administration's hand at the negotiating table and improve the outlook for a trade deal with China. On the flip-side, a particularly weak report will very much put Fed rate cuts back in play and may leave the 10-year with a 1-handle by next weekend. Construction spending on Monday, factory orders on Tuesday, and ADP employment data on Wednesday are the other notable releases next week.

Disclosure: An investor cannot invest directly in an index and index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees, expenses or taxes. The information presented does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. We consider the information in this presentation to be accurate, but we do not represent that it is complete. It should not be relied upon as the sole source of suitability for investment. Please consult with your investment, tax or legal adviser regarding your individual circumstances before investing. Visit our website for a complete definition of all indexes cited in this report. Investing involves risk and loss of principal is possible.


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Hoya Capital Real Estate ("Hoya Capital") is an SEC-registered investment advisory firm that provides investment management services to ETFs, individuals, and institutions, focusing on portfolio and index management of publicly traded securities in the real estate industry. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Index performance cited in this website or commentary does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. Nothing on this site nor any published commentary by Hoya Capital is intended to be investment, tax, or legal advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and should not be considered a complete discussion of all factors and risks. Data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk. Loss of principal is possible. Investments in companies involved in the real estate and housing industries involve unique risks, as do investments in ETFs, mutual funds, and other securities. Hoya Capital has no business relationship with any company discussed/mentioned. Hoya Capital never receives compensation from any company discussed/mentioned. Hoya Capital, its affiliate, and/or its clients and/or its employees may hold positions in securities or funds discussed on this website and our published commentary. A complete list of holdings and other important disclosures and definitions are available by clicking the links below.

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