Keepin' It Real 

Economics, Housing, & Commercial Real Estate Analysis

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  • Alex Pettee, CFA

Real Estate Daily Recap: REITs And Housing Climb 1% After Benign Inflation Data

The Hoya Capital US REIT Index finished the day higher by 1.0%, led to the upside by the hotel, industrial, and student housing REIT sectors. The storage, cell tower, and data center REIT sectors were the relative underperformers on the day. The S&P 500 finished the day higher by 0.4% while the Nasdaq finished higher by 0.5%. At 2.48%, the 10-Year Yield finished the day lower by 2 basis points and remains roughly 75 basis points lower than it's peak last October following benign inflation data today in the CPI report.

Within the Hoya Capital US Housing Index, the Home Furnishings and Real Estate Technology & Brokerage sectors were the strongest performer on the day, each jumping by 2.2% led by Tempur Sealy (TPX), Realogy (RLGY), Overstock (OSTK), Bed Bath Beyond (BBBY), and La-Z-Boy (LZB).

The Home Improvement Retail sector was the relative laggard on the day with Home Depot (HD) finishing the day lower by 0.7% Homebuilding Products & Materials also underperformed on a relative basis, held back by Watsco (WSO), Lennox (LII), and Louisiana-Pacific (LPX).

CPI inflation data today was rather benign with Core CPI coming in shy of estimates at 2.0%. Housing (CPI:Shelter) accounts for more than a third of the total CPI weight (42% including housing-related services), and since 2013, housing inflation has been significantly above the overall inflation rate. From 2015 through late 2016, housing inflation was one of the only components keeping Core CPI out of deflationary territory. Housing inflation has reaccelerated over the last several months after moderating slightly in 2018. Consistent with data from Yardi, primary rent growth has picked back up to 3.7% YoY, significantly above the broader inflation rate of 1.1%.

The economic calendar for the rest of this week includes PPI on Thursday and Consumer Confidence on Friday.

Disclosure: An investor cannot invest directly in an index and index performance does not reflect the deduction of any fees, expenses or taxes. The information presented does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. We consider the information in this presentation to be accurate, but we do not represent that it is complete. It should not be relied upon as the sole source of suitability for investment. Please consult with your investment, tax or legal adviser regarding your individual circumstances before investing. Visit our website for a complete definition of all indexes cited in this report. Investing involves risk and loss of principal is possible.

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Hoya Capital Real Estate ("Hoya Capital") is an SEC-registered investment advisory firm that provides investment management services to ETFs, individuals, and institutions, focusing on portfolio and index management of publicly traded securities in the real estate industry. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Index performance cited in this website or commentary does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. Nothing on this site nor any published commentary by Hoya Capital is intended to be investment, tax, or legal advice or an offer to buy or sell securities. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy and should not be considered a complete discussion of all factors and risks. Data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk. Loss of principal is possible. Investments in companies involved in the real estate and housing industries involve unique risks, as do investments in ETFs, mutual funds, and other securities. Hoya Capital has no business relationship with any company discussed/mentioned. Hoya Capital never receives compensation from any company discussed/mentioned. Hoya Capital, its affiliate, and/or its clients and/or its employees may hold positions in securities or funds discussed on this website and our published commentary. A complete list of holdings and other important disclosures and definitions are available by clicking the links below.

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