• Alex Pettee, CFA

Rebound Rally • Dividend Hikes • Mortgage Demand Jumps

Summary

  • U.S. equity markets rebounded Wednesday as solid housing and industrial production data in the U.S. were partially offset by weak Chinese economic data while oil prices jumped to three-month highs.

  • Gaining for just the second time in the past eight sessions, the S&P 500 gained 0.8% today while the Mid-Cap 400 advanced 1.1% and Small-Cap 600 rallied by 1.4%.

  • Real estate equities were modestly higher today following a flurry of dividend increase as the Equity REIT Index gained 0.2% with 15-of-19 property sectors in positive-territory while Mortgage REITs advanced 0.6%.

  • The wave of REIT dividend hikes continued with another five REITs raising their payouts, bringing the full-year total to 105. Cannabis REITs AFC Gamma and Innovative Industrial each significantly increased their payouts.

  • Mortgage demand jumped to the highest level since April last week as the historic surge in rents appears to be pulling households back into the ownership markets following a modest summer cool-down.

Real Estate Daily Recap

U.S. equity markets rebounded Wednesday as solid housing and industrial production data in the U.S. were partially offset by weak Chinese economic data while oil prices jumped to three-month highs. Gaining for just the second time in the past eight sessions, the S&P 500 gained 0.8% today while the Mid-Cap 400 advanced 1.1% and Small-Cap 600 rallied 1.4%. Real estate equities were modestly higher today following a flurry of dividend increase as the Equity REIT Index gained 0.2% with 15-of-19 property sectors in positive territory while Mortgage REITs advanced 0.6%.

Ten of the eleven GICS equity sectors were higher today, led on the upside by the Energy (XLE) sector as oil prices climbed to the highest level since July. The 10-Year Treasury Yield was little changed, however, as weaker-than-expected economic data from China offset the slate of solid economic data stateside. Homebuilders and the broader Hoya Capital Housing Index bounced back today on data showing that mortgage demand jumped to the highest level since April last week as the historic surge in rents appears to be pulling households back into the ownership markets following a modest summer cool down.

Equity REITs

The wave of REIT dividend increases continued over the last 24 hours. Cannabis REIT AFC Gamma (AFCG) - which went public earlier this year - boosted its quarterly dividend by 13.2% to 0.43/share, representing a forward yield of roughly 8.3%. Fellow cannabis REIT Innovative Industrial (IIPR) increased its dividend for the third time this year, declaring a $1.50/share quarterly dividend, a 7.1% increase from its prior dividend. Elsewhere, Realty Income (O) slightly bumped its dividend, declaring a $0.236/share monthly dividend, a 0.2% increase from its prior dividend. MGM Growth Properties (MGP) - which will be acquired by VICI Properties (VICI) - increased its dividend for the second time this year as well.

Net Lease: Yesterday, we published Net Lease REITs: High Yield Is Back which analyzed second-quarter earnings season and recent developments in the net lease sector. Riding the wave of dividend hikes across the real estate sector this year, net lease REITs are once again an attractive source of relatively stable high-yield income. Strong earnings results confirmed that net lease REITs are again on the offensive as it's back to business-as-usual for these REITs with acquisition-fueled growth kicking back into gear while rent collection fully normalized. The recent pullback appears to be a buying opportunity for many mid-size and smaller high-yielding REITs, which are trading at wider-than-warranted discounts to their large-cap and growth-focused peers.

Mortgage REITs

Per our Mortgage REIT Tracker available to The REIT Forum subscribers, residential mREITs finished higher by 0.3% today to push their week-to-date gains to 1.0%. Commercial mREITs gained 0.5% today and are now higher by 1.3% this week. TPG RE Finance Trust (TRTX) jumped more than 4% after it boosted its dividend by 20% to $0.24/share, representing a forward yield of roughly 7.8%. Elsewhere, MFA Financial (MFA), Ladder Capital (LADR), Broadmark Realty (BRMK), Ellington Residential (EARN), and Apollo Commercial (ARI) each held their dividends steady with the prior rate. The average residential mortgage REIT now pays a dividend yield of 9.0% while the average commercial mortgage REIT pays a dividend yield of 6.9%.

REIT Preferreds & Capital Raising

Per the REIT Preferreds & Bond Tracker available to The REIT Forum subscribers, REIT Preferred stocks finished higher 0.26% today, on average, but underperformed their respective common stock issues by an average of 0.37%. So far in 2021, REIT Preferred stocks are higher by 10.93% on a price return basis. Mortgage REIT New Residential Investment (NRZ) launched an offering of a new 7.00% Series D Fixed-Rate Reset Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock for gross proceeds of roughly $425M which will begin trading later this month on the NYSE under ticker symbol NRZ PR D.

Economic Data This Week

The economic calendar continues tomorrow when we'll see Retail Sales data for August, which is expected to decline for the second straight month and continue a moderation from recent stimulus-driven record-highs in April. We'll also be watching Consumer Sentiment data on Friday after posting one of the largest declines on record last month, driven by concerns over inflation and the reacceleration in COVID cases in the U.S.

To Continue Reading, Click Here To Visit Seeking Alpha!


Join our Mailing List on our Website

The REIT Forum is now the exclusive home to Hoya Capital premium research. Visit our website and join our email list for quick access to our real estate research library: HoyaCapital.com where we have links all of our real estate sector reports and daily recaps. You can also follow our real-time commentary on Twitter, LinkedIn, and Facebook.

Disclosure: A complete list of holdings and Real Estate and Housing Index definitions and holdings are available at HoyaCapital.com. Hoya Capital Real Estate advises an Exchange Traded Fund listed on the NYSE. Hoya Capital is long all components in the Hoya Capital Housing 100 Index.

Additional Disclosure: It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Index performance cited in this commentary does not reflect the performance of any fund or other account managed or serviced by Hoya Capital Real Estate. Data quoted represents past performance, which is no guarantee of future results. Information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but we do not guarantee its accuracy.

Glass Buildings

Keepin' It Real 

Economics, Housing, & Commercial Real Estate Analysis

apartment REITs
homebuilders ETFs
single family rental REITs
manufactured housing REITs
student housing REITs
data center REITs
Cell tower REITs
net lease REITs
industrial REITs
storage REITs
office REITs
mall REITs
REIT Preferreds and Bonds
hotel REITs
Timber REITs
healthcare REITs
REIT ETFs
Billboard REITs
shopping center REIT
High-Yield Real Estate ETFs
Real Estate CEFs
Casino REITs
cannabis REITs
prison REITs
mortgage REITs
real estate crowdfunding
REIT Portfolio Strategy
REITs Taxes
1/1
HOMZ_Logo_Just Ticker.png
ETF express.png

Explore our Real Estate Indexes

The Easy Way To Invest in Real Estate

REIT Forum HOYA AD.png