Keepin' It Real 

Economics, Housing, & Commercial Real Estate Analysis

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  • Alex Pettee, CFA

Whistling Past The Graveyard? Cracks Emerge As Rally Continues

  • U.S. equity markets finished decisively higher for the second-straight week as better-than-expected economic data and encouraging news of coronavirus treatments again overwhelmed concerns about the intensification of the pandemic.

  • Adding to last week's gains of 4.1%, the S&P 500 gained another 1.7% while a relentless rally in large-cap technology stocks powered the NASDAQ to fresh record-highs.

  • Are bond investors sensing trouble on the horizon or just deflationary pressure? Several high-frequency data points - which had correctly foretold the economic rebound - have shown hints of rolling over.

  • Commercial equity REITs were among the laggards this week as sentiment remains profoundly negative across most property sectors. REITs dipped 2.4% with 16 of 18 sectors in negative territory.

  • Homebuilders delivered another strong week, however, as the housing industry continues to lead the early stage of the recovery. Mortgage applications to purchase a home are now higher by 33% from last year.

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